边锋游戏

未来中国新能源汽车将如何发展?看看大咖们怎么说
发布时间:2019-06-05 15:13:00

未来中国新能源汽车将如何发展?看看大咖们怎么说


去年以来,车市迎来28年来首次负增长,而新能源汽车却一枝独秀。然而伴随新能源补贴“退坡”,中国电动车市场用最低的成本拿到最高的补贴这样一种野蛮生长的模式正式进入尾声。未来,新能源汽车将面临哪些挑战,如何应对?


6月4日,2019中国汽车重庆论坛上,北京梅赛德斯-奔驰销售服务有限公司销售与市场营销执行副总裁吴辰、广汽新能源副总经理肖勇、一汽-大众销售有限责任公司副总经理马振山、宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司董事长助理孟祥峰、法雷奥中国首席技术官顾剑民博士、合肥国轩高科动力能源有限公司工程研究总院系统研究院院长林志宏纷纷建言献策。


2019年4月中国新能源汽车产销累计均超36万辆


2014NIANYILAI,SUIZHEGUOJIAXIANGJICHUTAIZHENGCEFUCHIXINNENGYUANQICHEXINGYEDEFAZHAN,WOGUOXINNENGYUANQICHESHICHANGKAISHIDEDAOXUNMENGFAZHAN。JUQIANZHANCHANYEYANJIUYUANFABUDE《ZHONGGUOXINNENGYUANQICHEXINGYESHICHANGQIANZHANYUTOUZIZHANLVEGUIHUAFENXIBAOGAO》TONGJISHUJUXIANSHI,DAO2018NIANWOGUOXINNENGYUANQICHECHANXIAOGUIMOYIFENBIEDADAO127.0WANLIANGHE125.6WANLIANG,TONGBIFENBIEZENGZHANGLE59.9%HE61.7%。JIEZHIZHI2019NIAN4YUEZHONGGUOXINNENGYUANQICHECHANXIAOLIANGWEI10.2WANLIANGHE9.7WANLIANG,BISHANGNIANTONGQIFENBIEZENGZHANG25.0%HE18.1%。LEIJIFANGMIAN,2019NIAN1-4YUEZHONGGUOXINNENGYUANQICHECHANXIAOLEIJIDADAOLE36.8WANLIANGHE36.0WANLIANG,BISHANGNIANTONGQIFENBIEZENGZHANG58.5%HE59.8%。


2011-2019NIANQIAN4YUEWOGUOXINNENGYUANQICHECHANXIAOGUIMOTONGJIQINGKUANG

2011-2019年前4月我国新能源汽车产销规模统计情况

2011-2019年前4月我国新能源汽车产销规模统计情况

边锋游戏SHUJULAIYUAN:QIANZHANCHANYEYANJIUYUANZHENGLI


一、吴辰:新能源车市场由政策驱动转向市场驱动


边锋游戏WUCHENBIAOSHI,ZHONGGUOSHIQUANQIUZUIDADEXINNENGYUANQICHESHICHANG,ZAIJINNIANQIAN5YUECHENGYONGCHECHUNHANLIAOQIAODEQINGKUANGXIA,XINNENGYUANYIZHIDUXIU,BAOCHILEGAOSUDEZENGZHANG。ZHENGCEDEBIANHUABUDUANDIEDAICHUANGXIN,XINJINRUZHEZEDAILAIGENGWEIXIANHUODEBOBOSHENGJI。KEYISHUOXINNENGYUANSHICHANG,ZHENGCHENGXIANCHUQIANSUOWEIYOUDEHUOLIHEBURONGHUSHIDEQIANLI。


边锋游戏ZAITAKANLAI,XINNENGYUANQICHESHICHANGJINRULEXIABANCHANG,ZAIWOMENKANLAIXIANZAIZHENGGEQICHEXINGYEDOUZAIPOJIANZHONGSHENG。WUBUTIXIANXINNENGYUANQICHESHICHANGYOUZHENGCESHICHANGXIANGSHICHANGQUDONGDEZEYOUZHUANBIAN,SUIZHECHUANTONGCHEQIDEFALIHEXINZAOCHESHILIDEYONGCHU,CHUXIANBAIHUAQIFANG、BAIGEZHENGLIUDEXINGSHI。


二、肖勇:网约车出租车将成新能源车的“风口”


ZAIWOKANLAI,ZAIJINNIANYIQIAN,SHICHANGSHANGDEXINNENGYUANCHANPINWANQUANMEIYOUYIKUANZHENZHENGNENGMANZUKEHUXUQIU、JIEJUEKEHUTONGDIANDECHANPIN,YOUQISHICHUNDIANCHANPIN。RANER,BANSUIXIANPAIXIANGOUZHENGCEDETUICHU、BUTIEDETUIPO,WEILAINENGGOUGENCHUANTONGRANYOUCHEZHIMIANJINGZHENGLAIPK,FANGNENGHUOXIALAI,FOUZEZHINENGTUICHUHUOZHEBEIJIANBINGZHONGZU。


TONGSHI,WEILAI2-3NIANZHINEI,XINGYEYONGHUKENENGRENGRANSHIXINNENGYUAN、CHUNDIANDONGQICHEDEYIGEZENGZHANGDIAN。SHEIZHUAZHULEWANGYUECHE、CHUZUCHEDENGFENGKOU,JIUKENENGFENYIBEIGENG。


边锋游戏CIWAI,WEILAI,XINNENGYUANQICHEJIANGDEYIZAISANSIXIANCHENGSHIGENGKUAIPUJI。YINWEIJICHUSHESHI、CHONGDIANZHUANGDEJIANSHEBIWOMENXIANGXIANGGENGBIANLI,CHUNDIANDONGQICHESHIYONGCHENGBENDI、WEIXIUBAOYANGFANGBIAN,SHIYONGCHANGSUODECUOSHI,KENENGHUIZAISANSIXIANCHENGSHIDEDAOGENGHAODEPUJI。


边锋游戏TABIAOSHI,WEILAIXINNENGYUANQICHEDEFAZHAN,WEILAIHEXINJINGZHENGLISHISHENME?KEJI、ZIBEN、CHENGBEN。


三、马振山:多种技术路线并行将是更稳妥方式


边锋游戏MAZHENSHANCHENG,CONGMUQIANLAIKANZHONGGUODEXINNENGYUANDEZENGZHANGZAIQUANQIUBIJIAOCHAOQIAN,ZHENGGEGUOJIAGEGEBUMENYEZHIDINGLEHENDUOZHENGCE,DANSHICONGCHENGSHUDUDEJIAODULAIKAN,HAIMIANLINZHUDUOTIAOZHAN。BIRUJICHUSHESHI、CANZHIDI、ANQUANWENTI。


边锋游戏TABIAOSHI,XINNENGYUANQICHEDEFAZHAN,SHIYIGE“CHIJIUZHAN”。SHOUXIAN,ZHENGGEYETAI,XUYAOTONGGUOHUDONG,RANGCHUANGXINJISHUYUZHUJICHANGHEZUO,XINGCHENGGOUTONGLIANDECHUANGXIN。QICI,MUQIAN,XINNENGYUANYINGLIHENNAN,DUANQINEIHAIDEGOUJIANYIGEJIANKANGDECHANYELIAN。KONGZHIHAODIANDONGCHEDECHENGBEN,SHIDEDIANDONGCHENENGGOUBAOBENHUOZHEYOU“WEILI”,ZHEIGECHANYECAINENGXIANGQIANFAZHAN。KAO“SHAOQIAN”,KAOZIBENHENNANXINGDETONG。TANCHENGLAIJIANG,HUNDONG、CHUNDIAN、CHADIANDENGDUOZHONGJISHULUXIANBINGXINGTUIJIN,JIANGSHIGENGWEIWENTUODEFANGSHI。


四、孟祥峰:非限行限购消费者的接受是市场化关键


ZHANGYUANLAIKAN,XINNENGYUANQICHEHAIYAOZOUSHICHANGHUAFAZHANZHEITIAOLU。WEILAI,CHENGYONGCHENENGBUNENGBEIGUANGDADEXIAOFEIZHEJIESHOU,YOUQISHIBEIFEIXIANXINGXIANGOUDEXIAOFEIZHEJIESHOU,ZHEICAISHIZHENZHENGBAITUOLEBUTIE,ZOUXIANGSHICHANGHUADEGUANJIAN。MUQIANSHICHANGXIAOSHOUQINGKUANG,FEIXIANXINGBILIZAIZENGJIA,ZHEISHIFEICHANGKEXIDEBIANHUA。CONGSHICHANGZHANBILAIKAN,2018NIANCHENGYONGCHEDEZHANBITUPOLE3%。TONGSHI,ZHENGCHEDEXUHANGDEYITISHENG,MUQIANZHULIUDECHENGYONGCHEXINGCHAOGUOLE400GONGLI。JINNIANYOUJIKUANSHANGSHIDEXINCHEXING,YIJINGCHAOGUO500GONGLI。


边锋游戏RUHEQUCHIXUFAZHAN?ZHUYAOQUJUEYUXINNENGYUANQICHEZHEIJIGEFANGMIAN:YISHICHENGBEN,ERSHISHIYONGDEFANGBIANXING,SANSHIDIANCHIDESHOUMING,ZHIJIEXIANGGUAGOUSHIERSHOUCHEDECANZHI,SISHIZHENGCHEDEKEKAOXINGHEANQUANXING。


边锋游戏ZUOWEIDIANCHIDEGONGYINGSHANG,WOMENYECHAOZHEYIXIAWUGEFANGMIANZUOJISHUDECHUANGXINHETUPO:


边锋游戏1、KUAICHONG。KUAICHONGYINGXIANGZHENGGESHIYONGTIYAN,MUQIANDABUFENCHELIANGZUODAOBANXIAOSHIDAOYIXIAOSHIZUOYOUCHONGMAN80%YISHANG,WEILAIXIWANGBAZHEIGEJISHUZUODAO10-15FENZHONGCHONGDAO80%。ZHEIYANGDEHUA,RUGUOCHELIANGDEXUHANGNENGGOUZUODAO400GONGLIYISHANG,CHONGDIAN5FENZHONGKEYIJIXUZAIPAO100DUOGONGLIZUOYOU。


边锋游戏2、GAONENGLIANGMIDU。WEILAI,XIWANGBADIANCHINENGLIANGMIDUTIGAODAO300,QIXUHANGTISHENGZHI600GONGLIYISHANG,CHEDIDAXIAOXIAOFEIZHELICHENGJIAOLV。


3、SHIZHANGSHOUMING。MUQIANXINNENGYUANQICHECANZHIZHISUOYIDI,QIZHONGYIGEZHUYAOYUANYINSHIRONGLIANGSHUAITUIDEWENTI。MUQIANBUTIEYAOQIUSHI8NIAN12WANGONGLI,DANSHIKENENGYOUBUSHAOCHANPINZUOBUDAOZHEIGECHENGDU。XIANZAIWOMENXIWANGZUODAOZHANGXUHANG,RANGDIANCHIDESHOUMINGGAOYUCHEDESHOUMING。


边锋游戏4、GAOKEKAOXING。DAJIABIJIAODANXINDIWENXINGNENG,XIANZAIZAIKAIFAYIZHONGZIJIAREDEJISHU,KEYIYONGDIANCHIZIJIDENENGLIANGKUAISUJIDIANCHISHENGWEN。


五、顾剑民:根据用户需求提供多样性电气化方案


SHOUXIANDAJIAKEYIKANDAOZHONGGUOWUYISHIDIANQIHUADELINGJUNGUOJIAZHIYI。WEILAI,XINNENGYUANQICHEJIANGCONGQUNIAN4%DAOJINHOU10%YISHANG,SHENZHIGENGGAODESHUIPING。


DIANQIHUAYINGGAIBUJINJINXIANZHIYUCHUNDIANDONGCHEHUOCHADIANSHIHUNHEDONGLI,WOMENJIANGTIGONGYIGEQUANPUXIDUOYANGHUADEJIEJUEFANGAN,JIYOUCHADIANSHIHUNHEDONGLIHUOZHECHUNDIANDONG,YOUYOUDIYADEDIANDONGCHEFANGAN,BAOKUO12FU、48FUHUNDONG、CHUNDIANDONGDEFANGAN。


LIRU,48VXITONG。MUQIANGUONEIFALEIAOSHIDIYIJIATUICHU48VDEGONGYINGSHANG,ZUIZAOZAI2016NIANZHANGANDEYIDONGCHESHANGLIANGDE,DIERGESHIJILIDEBORUIGE,JINNIANWEIZHIZAIQUANGUODAGAIYOUSHIJIGEXIANGMUZHENGZAIYANFASHENGCHANDANGZHONG,SUOYI48VSHIYIGEFEICHANGDADEQUSHI。XIANZAIJISHIWANLIANG48VDEZHUANGCHE,JINHOUDAO2025NIANSHENZHIGAODA1050WANDEZHUANGCHELV。TONGSHI,48VXITONG,JISHUSHANGSHIYIGEP1DEFANGAN,GENJUDIANJIZAIZHENGGEDONGLIZONGCHENGXITONGDANGZHONGWEIZHIBUTONG,KEYIKANDAOP2、P3SHENZHIP4DEFANGAN,ZHEIXIEFANGANHEQILAIJINXINGZUHE,KEYIKANDAOBUTONGDEXINGNENGHEBUTONGDEZUHE,FEICHANGLINGHUO。


BUTIETUIPOYIHOU,WOMENZENMELAIYINGDUINI?JIANYANZHI,GENJUKEHUDESHIYONGHUANJINGHECHUXINGXUQIULAIYINGDUI,JINXINGDUOLEIXINGDEKAIFA,ZHENDUIBUTONGDEXIFENSHICHANG,BAOKUOKEHUDEXUQIU、CHUXINGDEXUQIU,LAITIGONGDUOYANGXING、BUTONGDEDIANQIHUADEJIEJUEFANGAN。


六、林志宏:新能源汽车产业步入“断奶期”


GUOQU,XINNENGYUANDEBUTIEYUNYULEYIGECHANYE,YEYONGXIANCHULEHENDUOPEITAOSHANG、ZHUJICHANG。RANER,RUTONGYINGERPEIFANGNAIYIYANG,XINNENGYUANBUTIEYIDINGYAOTUICHU“WUTAI”。ERBUTIETUIPOHOU,XINNENGYUANQICHEDEANQUANXING、CHONGDIANBIANJIEXING、NAIHOUXINGDENG,JIANGYUCHUANTONGRANYOUCHE“TIESHENROUBO”。JUJIAOKEHU,JUJIAOKEHUTIYANDECHANPIN,CAINENGZHENZHENGZHENGFUYONGHU。


稿件来源: 前瞻产业研究院
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